US Momentum 20
The fund holds 20 US stocks selected by a momentum-ranking model, rebalanced monthly. In hostile markets, it goes to cash until conditions improve. Not financial advice.
An ML model predicts forward excess returns using momentum and trend features, ranking 1,000+ stocks. The fund holds the top 20 with volatility-based sizing and sector caps. Positions exit on rank decay or crash stops, with monthly rebalances.
When market conditions deteriorate, the system closes all positions and moves to cash until conditions improve.
A statistical model monitors market health daily. When the probability of hostile conditions crosses a threshold, the portfolio switches strategies.
Tested using walk-forward validation across 12 non-overlapping 6-month windows from 2019 to 2025. Each window trains a fresh model on the prior 3 years of data. No future information leaks into any test.
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Regime alerts, rebalance instructions, position sizing, and plain-English explanations for each pick.
Disclaimer: Verdict Trading provides a systematic, model-driven stock portfolio for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice, and we are not registered investment advisors. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance, including walk-forward backtest results, does not guarantee future results. The paper portfolio reflects simulated trades and does not represent actual trading. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.